Storms could reach East Texas by Friday

EAST TEXAS (KTRE) – If you are planning to attend the Angelina County Benefit Rodeo Wednesday, you can leave your rain boots and umbrella at home.  The beautiful weather we have in place will be similar to what we will see coming up.

"It might be a bit more breezy, but it will be partly sunny, warm, and dry.  As we head towards the end of the week, we will be watching a strong, spring storm move into the Southern Plain states," according to KTRE Chief Meteorologist Brad Hlozek.

This storm system will drag in a frontal boundary on Saturday that may trigger a few showers and strong thunderstorms.

"Considering we are 4.27 inches behind in rainfall for the year, we will take the rain, even if it comes in the form of some strong storms," Hlozek said.

Currently, the weather team is watching a strong upper air disturbance along the Pacific Northwest coast which will move to the four corners region by Wednesday afternoon.  As this system moves out of the Rockies into the southern Plains, a dryline will develop across west Texas and move its way towards our area.

"Right now it appears we will see some severe storms develop Thursday afternoon from the Eastern Texas Panhandle south towards West Texas.  These storms will move east and lose some of their strength Thursday night into Friday morning.  This dryline will still be out to our west Friday afternoon giving East Texas plenty of time to warm into the lower 80s," Meteorologist Grant Dade said.

This will set the stage for severe storms to develop out to our west late Friday afternoon and move east into East Texas Friday evening and overnight.  At this time it appears there will be plenty of instability and wind shear to keep these storms at severe levels through the overnight hours.

The atmosphere will be conducive for very large hail, strong gusty winds, and isolated tornadoes.

"Remember we are still four days away from this developing storm system and a lot could change between now and then.  Severe weather outbreaks require many ingredients to come together at once.  Any difference in timing could cause these storms to be weaker or stronger," Dade said.

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