We have had quite a week of active weather in Deep East Texas. On Tuesday, we had two rounds of strong to severe storms rumble through the Piney Woods, dumping copious amounts of rain and producing wind damage in a few spots.
We then had more rounds of heavy rain and thunder last night, which lingered through most of the overnight hours and into the wee hours this morning.
Then today, we had another complex of storms form near Toledo Bend Country and move west before finally ending late this afternoon.
This wet and stormy pattern has been anchored by several disturbances moving in from Oklahoma and North Texas the past several days. The last two days, one upper level disturbance has been the culprit for the active weather.
This upper low will be one of the main factors as to why rain chances will continue to remain in the forecast. The image to your right shows the timeline of the position of this feature through the middle of next week. As you work your way in a clockwise fashion, notice how it drifts into southern Louisiana by tomorrow and than moves out in the Gulf over the weekend. As it moves further away, we will see rain chances taper off each day as we head through the weekend.
However, notice what happens by next week. The upper low is forecast by several computer models to move back to the northwest and into Southeast Texas by next Tuesday. If that scenario pans out, then more bouts of heavy rain and strong storms will be possible once again.
In a complete 180° turn from last year, we have rain chances in the forecast for the next seven days. Many of your homes may go a couple of days in a row without seeing rain, but odds are someone will get wet in East Texas.
Just plan on keeping your umbrella on hand just in case you find yourself underneath a heavy downpour or two.
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