The likelihood of you getting wet in the next week - KTRE.com | Lufkin and Nacogdoches, Texas

The likelihood of you getting wet in the next week

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You will certainly want to keep your umbrella on hand with chances for rain in the forecast over the next five days. You will certainly want to keep your umbrella on hand with chances for rain in the forecast over the next five days.
EAST TEXAS (KTRE) -

Rain chances will be going up across the Piney Woods over the next few days.  In fact, not only will the rain chances be increasing, but we will have multiple days of decent rain chances in the forecast.  This is something you typically don't see very often in the summer months.

The Setup

The big dome of high pressure, which is currently providing record setting heat to the upper Midwest, will send multiple disturbances in our direction over the next few days.  Since the flow around high pressure is clockwise, that means the rain showers and thunderstorms that move through East Texas will have an east to west motion.

That means the storms which fire up in Louisiana will take on a westward motion, which is fairly unusual from the west to east or south to north motion we are accustomed to seeing in the Texas Forest Country.

The Odds of Getting Wet

The bar graph I attached shows the likelihood of you getting wet over the next five days.  Keep in mind that even though the highest rain chances won't occur until Sunday does not mean the rainfall we be heaviest at your place during that time frame.  It is quite possible that your neighborhood will get a nice soaker on Saturday, remain dry on Sunday and Monday, and then see rain again on Tuesday.

Probability is a great tool to describe rain chances as long as you understand what those odds mean.  In other words, a 40% chance of rain does not mean that 40% of the viewing area will get wet or that it will rain for 40% of the day.  It also says nothing about how heavy the downpours will be or how strong the storms will be either.  All that percentage simply means is that you have a 2 in 5 shot at getting wet at some point in time during the day. 

As always, we will have our live streaming radar going on our weather page and you can also follow the radar on your smart phone by downloading our StormTracker 9 Weather app today.

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