EAST TEXAS (KTRE) - Tropical Storm Isaac is now situated about 250 miles southeast of New Orleans and is still moving in a northwest direction.
We have been telling you about the uncertainty in the various computer models over the past few days. They have flip-flopped more than the pancakes mom makes on a Saturday morning. However, since last night, we have seen more run-to-run consistency and believe that Isaac will make landfall somewhere along the southern Louisiana coastline by late Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning.
Impacts for East Texans
If Isaac does take the course as projected by the National Hurricane Center, then our impacts will be minimal in East Texas. Since the worst of the weather takes place on the right side (east side) of a tropical storm or hurricane, that would put us on the back side of the system.
Winds will be our main issue, as they will be out of the northeast at 20 to 30 mph. The winds will pick up some on Tuesday and then be more noticeable on Wednesday and Thursday as Isaac moves through Louisiana. Areas in and near the Sabine River and the Texas/Louisiana state line could see some tropical storm force wind gusts, but those wind gusts will be determined by just how close Isaac is to the state line.
Other than some windy conditions at times, the rainfall potential looks to be rather light at this point. We would see some wrap around rain bands and showers, but they would not be all that heavy or widespread.
Stay Tuned for Updates
While confidence is growing as to where Isaac will go, we still have a few models that want to bring it into East Texas. While that scenario is unlikely, it is not impossible, considering how the models have really struggled to get a handle on this storm. If Isaac does change course and heads our way, then our forecast is subject to change.
You can get updates on Isaac's every move by going to our Hurricane Center (see link above). You can also follow Isaac through our weather app and get updates by liking KTREweather on Facebook and following us on Twitter.