Christmas day snow chances for the Lone Star state

EAST TEXAS (KTRE) - Everyone dreams of a white Christmas.  The odds are certainly stacked against us for receiving any of that white stuff around here on Christmas day.  This year will be interesting, however, as a potent storm system pulls through the Lone Star state on the 25th next week.

If you have been on the social media sites, such as Twitter and Facebook, you have probably run across some posts talking about the chance for flurries or snow in the state of Texas.  And yes, that is a distinct possibility.  There's just one problem:  East Texas will more than likely just see liquid precipitation, as the chances for a wintry mix or snow is highly unlikely at this point.

Lufkin and Nacogdoches will be looking at a cloudy day with periods of showers likely as you prepare for your Christmas dinner.  The bulk of the cold air will not arrive until Christmas evening.  The problem we have is that the temperature profile of the atmosphere will not be cold enough to support snow, plus the moisture will be moving out as the low pressure center begins to pull away.

The image to your right shows my forecast for precipitation type on Christmas night.  Areas in North Texas will have the chance for rain to change over or mix with snow late in the day as wrap around moisture taps into some colder air.  However, with relatively warm soils, even our friends to the north will not see much in accumulations as most of the snow will melt on impact.

The best chances for snow will be in Oklahoma, where their temperature profile will be cold enough to support that white stuff falling from the sky.

Keep in mind the forecast can change, especially if the track of the low were to shift position.  Make sure you keep checking back with KTRE-TV and to keep up-to-date with possible changes to our Christmas day storm system.

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