A potent low pressure system will swing out of the Rockies and into the Plains on Thursday. As this happens, it will swing a cold front into East Texas around the midday hours. It is along and ahead of this front where we expect widespread showers and thunderstorms to develop.
With very strong upper level winds blowing in along the jet stream, we will have lots of turning of the winds with height. That means that any storms that develop on Thursday morning will have the potential to rotate and possibly produce a tornado. At this time, it appears the areas most at risk for possible tornado development will take place along and south of a Groveton to Lufkin to Center line.
Even if no tornadoes develop, we still have a good chance of seeing damaging winds accompany the complex of thunderstorms as they rumble through the Piney Woods.
Although the rain will be locally heavy within the storms themselves, the rainfall amounts and flooding potential will be rather low due to the fast moving nature of these storms.
In terms of the estimated time of arrival for the main line of storms, here is the current thinking:
Areas along a Palestine to Crockett line: 8-10am
Areas along the Highway 59 corridor, including Lufkin and Nacogdoches: 10am- 12 Noon
Areas along the Highway 96 corridor, including Center and San Augustine: 12 Noon-2pm
It should be noted that these are estimates that are subject to change depending on the pace of our storm system. We could also see showers and thunderstorms develop ahead of the main line during the early morning hours. The estimated time of arrival for these storms is just strictly dealing with the main line that will come in along our cold front.
We have several weather tools to help you stay safe and ahead of the storm on Thursday. These features include our weather app for your smart phone as well as ThunderCall, which is a free service that notifies you of severe weather as soon as a severe weather warning is issued where you live. You can find the links to these features and more by checking out our sidebar link on the left side of the page.
Stay with KTRE-TV and ktre.com throughout the day on Thursday. We will keep you updated on the latest severe weather developments.
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