Our recent run of dry weather will be coming to an end as a western storm combines with a weak front to generate some pockets of heavy rain by the end of the week. Our rain chances will return on Thursday afternoon and evening as a disturbance rotates in around the low to our west.
The best chance for rain, however, won't arrive until Friday. The combination of high moisture content, a weak surface cold front, and upper level disturbances tracking on top of the front, mean rain chances will be rather high for East Texas.
The front will stall out on Saturday, which means lingering showers could continue as we enter the weekend. A stronger cold front will move through late Saturday night and finally scour out the rain and moisture to our south, leading to some drier and pleasant conditions just in time for Mother's day.
In terms of rainfall, one to two inches are possible across all of the Piney Woods. With this type of weather pattern setup, it is often difficult to pinpoint which areas will see the heaviest rain. It should be noted, though, that where the rain does fall, it will be heavy at times.
The severe weather potential will be rather low with the ingredients in place, but it will not be completely zero either.
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