The main threats will be strong, gusty winds and lots of frequent cloud-to-ground lightning.
The squall line will be entering the Crockett and Alto areas around 10pm.
The Highway 59 corridor, including Lufkin and Nacogdoches, should see the storms rumble through around midnight.
EAST TEXAS (KTRE) -
The warm and muggy conditions we have been feeling over the past few days will be taking a back seat to cooler and drier air by the end of the week.
Before we can feel that refreshing air, though, we will see a “slight” risk for severe thunderstorms rumble through the Piney Woods on Thursday evening as the cool front advances through Deep East Texas.
The main threat with this line of strong to severe storms will be damaging winds in excess of 50 mph. Any time we are dealing with a squall line racing through our area, high winds are usually our main threat. The threat for tornadoes, large hail, and street flooding will be rather low.
When storm complexes move in to East Texas, timing is everything. Because these storms will be moving through our area during the late evening and overnight hours, they will be in a weakening state. That does not mean we will not see some strong winds, but it does mean the likelihood of widespread severe weather will be minimized due to the lack of instability available when these storms push on through.
Look for the leading edge of the squall line to approach the Crockett, Palestine, and Rusk areas around 10pm. The line should then reach the Highway 59 corridor around Lufkin and Nacogdoches between 11pm and midnight. Finally, the storms will push through the Woodville, Jasper, and Toledo Bend areas sometime after 2am Friday.
With the fast movement of these storms, the rainfall potential will range from one half to one inch on average.
With a chance for severe weather on Thursday evening, make sure you download our FREE KTRE weather app. If you don't have a smart phone, you can sign up for our FREE ThunderCall service. Both of these features will alert you to severe weather the instant a severe weather warning is issued where you live. Even if you do not receive bad weather in your neighborhood, having one or both of these products will be useful for future severe weather outbreaks later on in the fall season.