Strong to severe storms possible overnight into Monday morning
Most of our area is under a Slight to Marginal Risk for severe weather.
Storms will be building into the Tyler area Sunday evening.
After midnight, storms will begin to move into Nacogdoches, Center and Crockett.
By early morning Monday, strong to severe storms will likely be moving into Lufkin, Groveton and Hemphill.
The main threat will be gusty winds and large hail, but we can't rule out an isolated tornado risk.
EAST TEXAS (KTRE) -
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to begin building into East Texas this evening and overnight out ahead of a cold front to our north. This front, meeting up with moisture driven in from the Gulf and from a dry line to our west, could bring some strong to severe storms through our area.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed most of our area under a "Slight Risk" (level 2 of 5) to a "Marginal Risk" (level 1 of 5) for severe weather (see graphic). The Slight Risk means we could see scattered severe storms capable of producing strong winds over 60 mph, damaging hail, and even an isolated tornado. The Marginal Risk means we could see isolated severe storms with winds up to 60 mph, hail up to an inch in diameter, and a very low tornado risk.
Models indicate that these storms will start to build into northwestern portions out of our viewing area around 6-7 p.m.; into Tyler and Longview around 9-11 p.m.; Crockett, Nacogdoches, and Center between 1-3 a.m, and Lufkin, Groveton and Hemphill between 3-5 a.m.
As an area of low pressure continues to move to the northeast, the cold front will slowly push into East Texas on our Monday, keeping showers and storms in the forecast. The threat for severe weather will decrease to a "slight risk" (level 2 of 5) for the start of the work week, meaning the storms shouldn't be as long-lived or widespread as Sunday. The threat for damaging winds, heavy rain, an isolated tornado, and hail (around an inch in diameter) will continue. Rain totals could reach up to 6" by Monday evening.
We'll keep you updated on KTRE and KTRE.com as these storms build into the region.
You can prepare for the possibility of severe storms by charging your electronic devices, downloading the KTRE weather app, and making a severe weather plan with your family.
By Tuesday, behind the front, lows will fall into the low 60s with highs in the mid 70s. That cold front will stall over East Texas through the end of the week, keeping showers and storms in the forecast through then. Lows will stay in the mid 60s with highs in the mid to upper 70s.