A slow moving storm will move in from the Pacific and set up shop over northern Mexico and extreme west Texas over the next few days. That will put all of us in Deep East Texas right in the storm track as jet stream winds blow overhead.
At the same time, plentiful Gulf moisture will combine with lots of Pacific moisture in the upper atmosphere. This will create the setup for some heavy, widespread rains in East Texas, something we have not experienced around here in quite some time.
With the threat for some very heavy rainfall this week, a Flash Flood Watch has now been issued for all our counties and communities in Deep East Texas through at least Wednesday, with many areas having the flood watch continue until Thursday afternoon.
In addition to the threat for heavy rain this week, a few strong-to-severe thunderstorms cannot be ruled out as well, especially on Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning. The threats will consist of strong winds, small hail, and even an isolated tornado.
Even though some severe weather is possible, it is the heavy rain and flooding threat that will be our biggest concern as the low pressure area just meanders around, stalling out and leading to multiple chances of rain all week long.
Our highest rain chances will take place from Tuesday through Thursday of this week before tapering down as we head into the weekend. The heaviest rain and the biggest impacts will be felt on Wednesday morning as it will be a very wet and stormy morning commute for all East Texans.
By Friday and Saturday, the low should begin to slowly pull away from East Texas, which will allow for some drier weather to return to our area.
As of now, we are forecasting four-to-eight inches of widespread rain over the next few days. It should be noted, however, that some areas could receive in excess of ten inches of rain, which would cause flooding and impacts on our area streams, rivers, and bayous.
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