The first signs of rain began popping up on Doppler radar before lunchtime on Wednesday and we’ve gone to a hit and miss pattern of thundershowers for the afternoon. The majority of the rains have developed over the middle and northern portions of the WAFB area, with cells tracking from south to north at 15 to 20 mph.
The WAFB Storm Team has been talking about a declining trend in rain chances for this week. Well, it’s turned out that Mother Nature has a different idea for Thursday and will deliver a “weather curve ball” for the day. A disturbance to our north will track west to east across the U.S. and enhance the potential for afternoon showers and thunderstorms in our viewing area. So rather than a drier day, the First Alert Forecast now has rain chances at 50 to 60 percent for Thursday.
After that, however, we do expect a significant drop off in rain coverage for Friday and the weekend. We won’t say entirely dry, but we are keeping rain chances at 20 percent or less for all three days. Of course, that means the 90s will be back, along with Gulf humidity, which will push heat index readings to near the 100º mark for all three afternoons.
We expect the drier pattern to persist into the first part of next week too, with scattered rains returning as we head into the middle of next week.
Morning starts over the next seven days will tend to run in the low to mid 70s, a little above the norm and a reflection that Gulf moisture will remain in place even if we get a respite from the frequent afternoon showers.
So remember to be careful in the heat this weekend and don’t forget sunshine adds to the apparent temperature by as much is 10° during the middle of the day. In effect, an afternoon temperature of 92° will feel more like 105° to 110° or more in the direct sunlight during the early afternoon!
As for the tropics, the National Hurricane Center continues to indicate the all clear for the next five to seven days across the Atlantic Basin.
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