Texas A&M vs. Penn State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total - NCAA Tournament First Round
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Thursday's contest at Wells Fargo Arena has the Texas A&M Aggies (25-9) taking on the Penn State Nittany Lions (22-13) at 9:55 PM ET (on March 16). Our computer prediction projects a close 71-69 win for Texas A&M, so it should be a competitive matchup.
Based on our computer prediction, Penn State is projected to cover the point spread (3.5) versus Texas A&M. The two sides are expected to exceed the 134.5 total.
Texas A&M vs. Penn State Game Info & Odds
- Date: Thursday, March 16, 2023
- Time: 9:55 PM ET
- TV: TBS
- Where: Des Moines, Iowa
- Venue: Wells Fargo Arena
- Line: Texas A&M -3.5
- Point Total: 134.5
- Moneyline (To Win): Texas A&M -165, Penn State +135
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Texas A&M vs. Penn State Score Prediction
- Prediction: Texas A&M 71, Penn State 69
Spread & Total Prediction for Texas A&M vs. Penn State
- Pick ATS:
Penn State (+3.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (134.5)
Texas A&M's record against the spread so far this season is 22-10-0, and Penn State's is 19-12-0. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Aggies are 15-17-0 and the Nittany Lions are 18-13-0. The two teams score an average of 145.5 points per game, 11.0 more points than this matchup's total. Texas A&M has an 8-2 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in the last 10 contests. Penn State has gone 8-2 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 contests.
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Texas A&M Performance Insights
- The Aggies average 73.2 points per game (139th in college basketball) while allowing 66.2 per contest (65th in college basketball). They have a +239 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by seven points per game.
- Texas A&M averages 34 rebounds per game (52nd in college basketball) while conceding 28.6 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 5.4 boards per game.
- Texas A&M knocks down two fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 6.1 (310th in college basketball) compared to its opponents' 8.1.
- The Aggies rank 125th in college basketball with 95.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 60th in college basketball defensively with 86.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
- Texas A&M has committed 1.3 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 11.9 (186th in college basketball action) while forcing 13.2 (84th in college basketball).
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