Padres vs. Yankees Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread - May 26
Published: May. 26, 2023 at 2:42 PM CDT|Updated: May. 26, 2023 at 5:47 PM CDT
Friday's contest that pits the New York Yankees (30-22) versus the San Diego Padres (23-27) at Yankee Stadium has a projected final score of 5-3 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Yankees, who is a small favorite in this matchup. First pitch is at 7:05 PM on May 26.
The probable pitchers are Joe Musgrove (1-2) for the Padres and Randy Vasquez for the Yankees.
Padres vs. Yankees Game Info & Odds
- When: Friday, May 26, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
- Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
- How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
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Padres vs. Yankees Score Prediction
Our prediction for this contest is Yankees 5, Padres 3.
Total Prediction for Padres vs. Yankees
- Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
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Padres Performance Insights
- In nine games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 4-5.
- In its last 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- In their last game with a spread, the Padres failed to cover.
- The Padres have won 15, or 48.4%, of the 31 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season San Diego has won 15 of its 31 games, or 48.4%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
- The Padres have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- San Diego ranks 25th in the majors with 200 total runs scored this season.
- The Padres have a 3.98 team ERA that ranks 10th among all league pitching staffs.
Yankees Performance Insights
- The Yankees have played as the underdog three times over their past 10 games and are undefeated in those matchups.
- In its last 10 games with an over/under, New York and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total five times.
- The Yankees have not covered the runline in any of their last 10 matchups (two of those games had a spread).
- The Yankees have been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (42.9%) in those games.
- This year, New York has won six of 14 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- The offense for New York is the No. 11 offense in the majors, scoring 4.6 runs per game (239 total runs).
- The Yankees have the sixth-best ERA (3.72) in the majors this season.
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|May 20||Red Sox||L 4-2||Joe Musgrove vs Chris Sale|
|May 21||Red Sox||W 7-0||Michael Wacha vs Corey Kluber|
|May 23||@ Nationals||W 7-4||Yu Darvish vs MacKenzie Gore|
|May 24||@ Nationals||L 5-3||Ryan Weathers vs Trevor Williams|
|May 25||@ Nationals||W 8-6||Blake Snell vs Jake Irvin|
|May 26||@ Yankees||-||Joe Musgrove vs Randy Vasquez|
|May 27||@ Yankees||-||Michael Wacha vs Luis Severino|
|May 28||@ Yankees||-||Yu Darvish vs Gerrit Cole|
|May 30||@ Marlins||-||Ryan Weathers vs Sandy Alcantara|
|May 31||@ Marlins||-||Blake Snell vs Braxton Garrett|
|June 1||@ Marlins||-||Joe Musgrove vs Jesús Luzardo|
|May 20||@ Reds||W 7-4||Jhony Brito vs Luke Weaver|
|May 21||@ Reds||W 4-1||Luis Severino vs Hunter Greene|
|May 23||Orioles||W 6-5||Gerrit Cole vs Kyle Bradish|
|May 24||Orioles||L 9-6||Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Tyler Wells|
|May 25||Orioles||L 3-1||Clarke Schmidt vs Kyle Gibson|
|May 26||Padres||-||Randy Vasquez vs Joe Musgrove|
|May 27||Padres||-||Luis Severino vs Michael Wacha|
|May 28||Padres||-||Gerrit Cole vs Yu Darvish|
|May 29||@ Mariners||-||Domingo Germán vs Bryce Miller|
|May 30||@ Mariners||-||Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Logan Gilbert|
|May 31||@ Mariners||-||Clarke Schmidt vs George Kirby|
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