Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner: Prediction and Match Betting Odds | China Open

In the China Open semifinals on Tuesday, Carlos Alcaraz faces Jannik Sinner.
Alcaraz is the favorite (-375) in this match, compared to the underdog Sinner, who is +275.
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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner Match Information
- Tournament: The China Open
- Round: Semifinals
- Date: Tuesday, October 3
- Venue: National Tennis Center
- Location: Beijing, China
- Court Surface: Hard
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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner Prediction and Odds
Based on the moneyline in this match, Carlos Alcaraz has a 78.9% chance to win.
Carlos Alcaraz | Jannik Sinner | |
---|---|---|
-375 | Odds to Win Match | +275 |
-125 | Odds to Win Tournament | +600 |
78.9% | Implied Prob. to Win Match | 26.7% |
55.6% | Implied Prob. to Win Tournament | 14.3% |
57.7 | Computer Predicted Prob. to Win Match | 42.3 |
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Today's China Open Previews & Predictions
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner Trends and Insights
- Alcaraz defeated Casper Ruud 6-4, 6-2 in the quarterfinals on Monday.
- Sinner took home the win 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 versus Grigor Dimitrov in the quarterfinals on Monday.
- Through 73 matches over the past year (across all court types), Alcaraz has played 24.6 games per match (22.5 in best-of-three matches) and won 58.8% of them.
- Alcaraz has played 33 matches on hard courts over the past 12 months, and 24.0 games per match (23.0 in best-of-three matches).
- Sinner has averaged 23.2 games per match (20.0 in best-of-three matches) in his 68 matches played in the past year across all court types, while winning 57.9% of the games.
- Sinner has averaged 22.0 games per match (19.5 in best-of-three matches) and 9.4 games per set through 45 matches on hard courts in the past year, winning 58.0% of those games.
- Alcaraz and Sinner have played seven times dating back to 2015, and Alcaraz has a 4-3 advantage, including a 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 win in their last meeting on March 31, 2023 at the Miami Open presented by Itau.
- In 22 total sets against each other, Alcaraz has won 12, while Sinner has claimed 10.
- Sinner and Alcaraz have matched up for 226 total games, and Sinner has won more often, capturing 116 of them.
- In their seven matches against each other, Alcaraz and Sinner are averaging 32.3 games and 3.1 sets.
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